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“Super” El Niño”: An honest conversation
Recently Kyle Mozley, the seasonal forecast guru at the National Weather Service office in Pueblo joined me to talk about the “super” El Niño hype
April 16, 2026
Recently Kyle Mozley, the seasonal forecast guru at the National Weather Service office in Pueblo joined me to talk about the “super” El Niño hype
“Super El Niño” headlines – a lot of hype and not a lot of context. Long-range seasonal forecasting isn’t really my lane — but I
I know the 24 Fire and other fires late last week have many concerned. Rightfully so. Here’s a movie from the model I usually prefer
Our ability to be specific as we get farther and farther into the future obviously drops….you don’t need me to tell you that. BUT, ensemble
I’m not using “historical warmth” flippantly next week. Check this out…here’s a look at the record high for each month of the year in Colorado
A ridge of high pressure for the late part of next week will have the strength of one you’d expect to see in late May,
Even after a late-week snow storm heading into the first full-weekend of March, 2026, snow pack across Colorado remains at historical lows. The Arkansas River
LONGER TERM OUTLOOK If you remember about a week or so ago I did a post about the middle of March perhaps being active and
Our next chance at another active stormy stretch looks to be in the middle of March, unfortunately – somewhere in the 15th-20th timeframe. Ensemble means
WHICH TEAM ARE YOU ON? Storm or no storm? Looking through February the middle part of the month looks most interesting if you are on
